Fearless Prediction

Sometime in the middle of next summer, President Obama will announce a new series of delays of portions of Obamacare.

The reason?:

When millions of health-insurance plans were canceled last fall, the Obama administration tried to be reassuring, saying the terminations affected only the small minority of Americans who bought individual policies. 

But according to industry analysts, insurers and state regulators, the disruption will be far greater, potentially affecting millions of people who receive insurance through small employers by the end of 2014. 

While some cancellation notices already have gone out, insurers say the bulk of the letters will be sent in October, shortly before the next open-enrollment period begins. The timing - right before the midterm elections - could be difficult for Democrats who are already fending off Republican attacks about the Affordable Care Act and its troubled rollout. 

The basis for my prediction is is the last quoted paragraph – Democratic candidates up and down the ticket (but especially senate and house candidates) will be in a panic, and Obama will delay implementation until sometime in 2015, safely after the elections.

Further fearless prediction: The announcement of the changes will be made late on a Friday afternoon, probably on a holiday weekend. Fourth of July would be ideal, because Labor Day would be too late – Republicans would already be scoring points with it and even Obama's most loyal media supporters would be forced to admit that the timing was a bit obvious.